Carbon markets to play crucial role in energy transition: IEF 

Carbon markets to play crucial role in energy transition: IEF 
In the report, the IEF urged governments to shape carbon markets into a win-win scenario for both consumers and producers.  Shutterstock
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Updated 31 March 2024
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Carbon markets to play crucial role in energy transition: IEF 

Carbon markets to play crucial role in energy transition: IEF 

RIYADH: Carbon markets are set to play a pivotal role in achieving climate goals, with efforts from Saudi Arabia and the UAE, paving the way for a smooth energy transition. 

According to a new report from the International Energy Forum, carbon markets are capable of effectively lowering the costs associated with greenhouse gas removal by connecting local project owners with international buyers eager to offset their emissions. 

“The promotion of cross-border trade in carbon credits between nations will bolster net-zero carbon balances, consequently boosting both supply and demand,” stated the report. 

The IEF, comprising energy ministers from 73 countries, including both producers and consumers, represents the world’s largest gathering of energy ministers and accounts for over 90 percent of global oil and gas supply and demand. 

The forum lauded Saudi Arabia’s transition efforts, highlighting the establishment of the Regional Voluntary Carbon Market Co. by the Kingdom’s Public Investment Fund in collaboration with the Tadawul Group. 

The primary objective of this company is to incentivize projects addressing climate issues, thus expediting efforts to achieve mitigation outcomes.  

According to the IEF report, this firm has successfully conducted two auctions, selling 3.6 million tonnes of carbon credits to domestic companies such as Saudi Aramco, NEOM, SABIC, and others. 

Similarly, the UAE launched an entity named Carbon Alliance in mid-2023, with the initiative aiming to develop the carbon market ecosystem within the country. 

This alliance in the Emirates comprises numerous domestic and international member entities, including the UAE Independent Climate Change Accelerator, AirCarbon Exchange, First Abu Dhabi Bank, and Mubadala Investment Co.  

“The collaborative endeavors of these institutions in the UAE underscore the significance of carbon markets in achieving net-zero goals. The alliance aims to strengthen the interconnected efforts between the private and public sectors, simultaneously contributing to the formulation of government strategies for greenhouse gas emission reduction,” added the report.  

The IEF report titled “The Role of Carbon Markets in Transitions” focuses on the potential of such initiatives to achieve net-zero carbon emissions and ensure universal access to affordable and reliable energy under the Paris Agreement. 

Speaking during the launch of the report, Joseph McMonigle, secretary-general of the IEF, said that the growth of carbon markets will also help raise money for clean energy projects.  

He said: “Carbon markets play an important role in aligning resources to achieve our global climate, energy security and affordability goals.”  

McMonigle added: “But they are at an inflection point. With stronger international collaboration and smart regulation, they can raise billions of dollars for clean energy projects, especially in the developing world, that would otherwise not get off the ground.” 

Game changer for climate action

The energy think tank highlighted that carbon markets could facilitate cost reduction and promote the alignment of regulatory frameworks, resulting in more cohesive and predictable climate and energy policies across regions.  

The report further pointed out that voluntary carbon markets represent an initial step in addressing both national and international climate challenges. 

“The VCM has the potential to strengthen global energy and climate policy coherence. Through participation in voluntary markets, the country gains insights into best practices. Management and designated staff will become more attuned to the strengths and weaknesses of these markets in different contexts,” stated the IEF report. 

It added: “Countries and businesses may transition into compliance markets or use VCMs for equivalent effect depending on performance and circumstances.” 

The IEF also emphasized the significant potential for carbon markets to generate investment in carbon capture, utilization, and storage technologies.  

Currently, CCUS projects largely remain outside the scope of carbon market incentives, despite their capacity to significantly reduce CO2 emissions and generate a substantial supply of reliable carbon credits. 

“The incentives provided by carbon markets for CCUS are expected to facilitate the broader deployment of this technology and a further reduction in associated costs,” the report noted.

The inter-governmental organization also emphasized that the exchange of carbon credits can reduce dependence on national public support schemes for industries to reduce emissions, ensuring the economic viability of sustainability projects. 

Moreover, revenues generated from such markets will deliver co-benefits in addressing sustainable development goals, bridging global divides, and transcending the scope of climate-related objectives alone.  

The IEF also underscored the importance of digitalization in ensuring better carbon market transparency. 

“Digitalization is crucial for ensuring robust accounting of carbon dioxide emissions. Digitalization can help to better quantify, measure, report and verify carbon market data and boost investor confidence,” the report added.  

Win-win situation 

In the report, the IEF urged governments to shape carbon markets into a win-win scenario for both consumers and producers.  

The non-profit organization also emphasized that market fragmentation and carbon credit risk can be addressed by fostering cohesive policy approaches, standardization, transparency, knowledge sharing across borders, and digitization. 

“Given the recent growth of carbon markets in many countries and the absence of specific guidelines, currently, it is imperative for governments to ensure that targeted emission reductions do not lead to undue social and economic harms,” said the report. 

McMonigle also urged governments to finalize the agreement on Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, which provides a framework for countries to trade carbon credits internationally. This agreement is considered critical to meeting national emissions targets.  

“Agreement on Article 6 is key to unlocking the potential of international carbon markets and we hope to see more progress at COP29 in Azerbaijan,” he said. 

In another report in March, the IEF stated that Saudi Arabia has the potential to become a leader in the CCUS technology sector with the opening of the world’s largest carbon capture hub on the east coast of the Kingdom in Jubail. 

The project is a joint initiative of Saudi Aramco and the Kingdom’s Ministry of Energy, with a planned storage capacity of up to 9 million tonnes of carbon dioxide per year by 2027. 

“These endeavors form part of Saudi Arabia’s broader efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and address climate change challenges,” noted the IEF. 


Oil Updates — crude wavers as markets await clarity on Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico

Oil Updates — crude wavers as markets await clarity on Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico
Updated 19 sec ago
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Oil Updates — crude wavers as markets await clarity on Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico

Oil Updates — crude wavers as markets await clarity on Trump tariffs on Canada, Mexico

TOKYO: Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as markets braced for threatened tariffs by US President Donald Trump on Mexico and Canada, the two largest suppliers of crude oil to the US, and awaited a meeting of OPEC+ producers.

Brent crude futures were down 7 cents, or 0.1 percent, at $76.51 a barrel by 7:11 a.m. Saudi time. US crude futures were little changed at 2 cents up, or 0.03 percent, to $72.64. US crude futures had settled at their lowest price this year on Wednesday.

Trump still plans to make good on his promise to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico on Saturday, White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Tuesday.

Trump’s nominee to run the Commerce Department, Howard Lutnick, said on Wednesday that Canada and Mexico can avoid the tariffs if they act swiftly to close their borders to fentanyl, while vowing to slow China’s advancement in artificial intelligence.

On the demand front, crude oil stockpiles in the US rose by 3.46 million barrels last week, roughly in line with analysts’ estimate for a rise of 3.19 million barrels, as winter storms that swept the country last week hit demand.

On the supply side, crude oil exports from Russia’s western ports in February are set to fall by 8 percent from the January plan as Moscow boosts refining, traders said and Reuters calculations showed, after the latest US sanctions squeezed crude exports.

Investors are also looking ahead to a ministerial meeting by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, together called OPEC+, scheduled for Feb. 3.

The OPEC+ group of leading oil producers is set to discuss Trump’s efforts to raise US oil production and take a joint stance on the matter, Kazakhstan said on Wednesday. Russia is also a member of the OPEC+ group.

Trump has publicly called on OPEC to lower oil prices, saying doing so would end the conflict in Ukraine. He has also set up an agenda of maximizing the US oil and gas production, already the world’s largest.
However, analysts believe a price war between the US and OPEC+ is unlikely as it may hurt both.

“A price war with the US would involve OPEC+ producers maximizing their output to undercut prices and drive shale production into decline,” analysts at BMI, a Fitch Group division, said in a note.

They predict Brent crude oil prices may go down below $50 as OPEC+ can deploy over 5 million barrels of oil per day in its spare capacity, prompting a fall in the US shale oil production along the prices. 


Saudi Arabia’s real GDP grows 4.4%: GASTAT

Saudi Arabia’s real GDP grows 4.4%: GASTAT
Updated 5 min 41 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s real GDP grows 4.4%: GASTAT

Saudi Arabia’s real GDP grows 4.4%: GASTAT

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real gross domestic product expanded by 4.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, marking its highest growth in two years, official data showed.

According to flash estimates from the General Authority for Statistics, the Kingdom’s non-oil activities grew by 4.6 percent year on year in the fourth quarter, reflecting ongoing efforts to diversify the economy.

The report also noted that oil activities rose by 3.4 percent in the fourth quarter compared to the same period in 2023, while government activities expanded by 2.2 percent.

Saudi Arabia’s GDP growth aligns with the broader Middle East trend, where countries are steadily advancing economic diversification. The UAE’s central bank projects 4 percent GDP growth in 2024, while Bahrain and Qatar reported year-on-year expansions of 2.1 percent and 2 percent, respectively, in the third quarter. Qatar’s full-year GDP grew by 1.7 percent, driven by a 1.9 percent rise in non-hydrocarbon activities.

“The results also showed that seasonally adjusted real GDP increased by 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to the third quarter of the same year,” GASTAT stated.

Strengthening the non-oil sector remains a key goal under Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 as the Kingdom continues efforts to reduce its dependence on oil revenues and drive sustainable economic growth.

Compared to the third quarter, non-oil activities in the Kingdom grew by 1.3 percent, while government activities rose by 0.3 percent. However, oil activities witnessed a quarterly decline of 1.5 percent.

For the full year 2024, Saudi Arabia’s GDP expanded by 1.3 percent compared to 2023. This increase was primarily driven by a 4.3 percent rise in non-oil activities, underscoring the Kingdom’s focus on economic diversification.

Government activities recorded a 2.6 percent annual increase, while oil activities contracted by 4.5 percent due to OPEC+ output cuts, which have impacted production levels.

Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund projected that Saudi Arabia’s economy will grow by 3.3 percent in 2025 and 4.1 percent in 2026. These projections reflect shifts in the global economic landscape, with oil production adjustments playing a key role in influencing near-term growth expectations.

A December report from Mastercard Economics also highlighted the robust expansion of Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector. The analysis forecast that the Kingdom’s GDP will grow by 3.7 percent year on year in 2025, largely driven by increased non-oil activities.

The Mastercard report added that economic diversification efforts will remain a priority in 2025, with the government leveraging its strong fiscal position to finance infrastructure development and new investment opportunities.


Clinton praises Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 for unlocking human potential 

Clinton praises Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 for unlocking human potential 
Updated 29 January 2025
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Clinton praises Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 for unlocking human potential 

Clinton praises Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 for unlocking human potential 

RIYADH: Former US President Bill Clinton praised Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 initiatives on Wednesday, highlighting their role in creating new opportunities for individuals to realize their full potential.

Speaking on the final day of the Real Estate Future Forum in a panel titled “A President’s Perspective: Bill Clinton at RFF 2025,” the 42nd president of the US lauded the Kingdom’s efforts to unlock human potential and foster inclusive development.

“The things that Saudi Arabia is doing now will provide more opportunities for more people to live up to their fullest capacity, and I think this is important,” Clinton said.

He emphasized the importance of Vision 2030 as a strategic framework for sustainable growth and encouraged other countries to take note.

“I think it (Vision 2030) is very important and it’s worth investing in,” Clinton remarked, adding, “I think that we, Americans, should come here and study this 2030 plan and ask ourselves what is our equivalent.”

Clinton expressed a long-standing admiration for Saudi Arabia, stating, “I’ve always felt drawn to this country.” He highlighted the development of human potential as a key driver of the future, adding, “I think that the ability to develop human potential will determine the future.”

Reflecting on his recent visit to Diriyah, a historic district undergoing significant transformation, the former president described the experience as remarkable. “I visited Diriyah last night and I think it was breathtaking,” he said.

Addressing the Saudi youth, Clinton underscored the value of career autonomy in a rapidly evolving job market, acknowledging the various opportunities the government offers to young Saudis.

“It’s a gift to be able to decide what to do with your working hours,” he told the youth, reinforcing the importance of choice and purpose in their professional lives.

Clinton’s remarks at RFF 2025 reaffirmed his admiration for Saudi Arabia’s ambitious Vision 2030, positioning the Kingdom as a model for economic diversification and social progress on the global stage.

The event, which took place from Jan. 27, was themed “Future for Humanity: Shaping Dreams into Reality.”

Held at the Four Seasons Hotel in Riyadh, it brought together over 300 speakers from 85 countries to discuss the future of real estate.

The forum served as a global hub for industry leaders, policymakers, and investors as Saudi Arabia moves forward with its vision for a diversified, innovation-driven economy.


Diriyah seeing strong real estate growth, planning mid-level housing units: Group CEO

Diriyah seeing strong real estate growth, planning mid-level housing units: Group CEO
Updated 29 January 2025
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Diriyah seeing strong real estate growth, planning mid-level housing units: Group CEO

Diriyah seeing strong real estate growth, planning mid-level housing units: Group CEO

RIYADH: The Diriyah project is experiencing strong success in residential real estate sales and is now targeting mid-level buyers, said a top executive. 

On the final day of the Real Estate Future Forum, Jerry Inzerillo, group CEO of Diriyah Co., highlighted the rapid growth of the area’s residential and commercial property market, emphasizing the strong demand for homes.

He also spoke about the continued expansion of Diriyah’s business landscape, with plans to open Zallal in April, which will feature 23 new businesses, further boosting the area’s appeal. 

These developments are a key part of a strategy to position the destination — one of Saudi Arabia’s five giga-projects supported by the Public Investment Fund — as both a residential and commercial hub, contributing to the Kingdom’s economic transformation under Vision 2030. 

“I’m thrilled to say that we’re selling a lot of our residential real estate,” Inzerillo said, adding that Diriyah will offer “several hundred units for the mid-level buyer” at the upcoming Cityscape event in November, catering to a broader range of potential homeowners. 

Beyond real estate, Inzerillo talked up the area’s historical and cultural importance to Saudi Arabia, saying: “Diriyah is the house of Al-Saud, the source of our national identity and pride. 

“What makes us unique is that we are the celebration of culture and heritage.” 

Inzerillo also discussed Diriyah’s spiritual importance, noting that one of its crowning achievements is providing a welcoming environment for religious travelers from around the world. 

“One of the greatest things in the world is to allow 2 billion Muslims to feel welcomed to fulfill pilgrimage to the two holy cities,” he said. 

The CEO shared that 14 percent of his workforce, now totaling 3,200 employees, are from Diriyah’s local community. 

Inzerillo noted the completion of 9 km of parks, which contributes to the area’s green spaces and makes it more attractive to residents and visitors. He also highlighted construction safety milestones, stating that Diriyah had logged 209 million construction man-hours without a fatality. 

Reflecting on the Kingdom’s increasing international appeal, Inzerillo said: “People from all over the world are coming to see Saudi, and they’re going back happy.” 

The CEO concluded by expressing confidence in the Kingdom’s future capabilities, stating: “What I would say for sure by 2030, even though I believe it now, is that the Kingdom, with its leadership now, is capable of hosting any global event in any way and be the best host for that thing.”


GCC trade set to grow 5.5% annually, reaching $2.3 trillion by 2033: BCG report

GCC trade set to grow 5.5% annually, reaching $2.3 trillion by 2033: BCG report
Updated 29 January 2025
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GCC trade set to grow 5.5% annually, reaching $2.3 trillion by 2033: BCG report

GCC trade set to grow 5.5% annually, reaching $2.3 trillion by 2033: BCG report
  • China is set to emerge as the largest growth market for GCC trade, with exchange volumes increasing by $88 billion
  • Japan follows closely, with an expected increase of $46 billion

RIYADH: The Gulf Cooperation Council’s trade sector is set to grow at an annual rate of 5.5 percent, reaching $2.3 trillion by 2033, according to a new report by Boston Consulting Group.

The BCG analysis highlights a robust outlook for GCC trade, driven by significant expansion across multiple corridors.

The region’s non-hydrocarbon trade is also set to expand by 3.5 percent annually, reinforcing the success of economic diversification efforts.

Global trade is expected to grow at an average rate of 2.9 percent annually through 2033, according to the report.

The expansion is driven by evolving partnerships and advancements in supply chain technology. As economies adapt to post-COVID-19 disruptions and regulatory changes, new trade corridors are emerging, particularly between the Global South and established markets. The shift creates significant opportunities for regions like the GCC to enhance their roles in global commerce.

Commenting on the developments, Rami Rafih, managing director and partner at BCG, said the reconfiguration of global trade flows presents a transformative opportunity for the GCC.

“As trade routes evolve, the region is not merely a geographic intermediary but a central orchestrator of emerging trade patterns,” he said, adding: “The GCC’s proactive investment in trade capabilities positions it to shape the future of global commerce.”

China is set to emerge as the largest growth market for GCC trade, with exchange volumes increasing by $88 billion at a compound annual growth rate of 5.7 percent.

Japan follows closely, with an expected increase of $46 billion, reflecting a 9.4 percent annual growth rate.

The report, titled “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade,” underscores the GCC’s strategic positioning as a vital link between East and West, benefiting from shifting global patterns.

With China’s trade with the Global South projected to increase by $1.25 trillion and transactions between developing nations expected to rise by $673 billion by 2033, the GCC is set to capture a substantial share of this evolving landscape.

Beyond its traditional reliance on hydrocarbon exports, the GCC’s non-oil trade is gaining momentum, fueled by regulatory enhancements, expanding infrastructure, and strategic agreements.

The shift aligns with the region’s broader economic diversification efforts under national transformation plans.

The report also highlights major global trade realignments that could benefit the GCC.

North America is solidifying its resilience, with US-Mexico business forecast to grow by $315 billion by 2033, while the Association of Southeast Asian Nations is set to achieve a 3.7 percent annual growth rate.

India is emerging as a critical player, with total trade expected to reach $1.8 trillion annually by 2033.

As the Global South gains economic influence, representing 18 percent of the international gross domestic product and 62 percent of the world’s population, trade among developing nations is expected to expand significantly.

Annual exchange within these regions is set to rise by $673 billion over the next decade, while trade between the Global South and developed economies is projected to hit $1.67 trillion annually by 2033.

To capitalize on these shifting dynamics, the report outlines key strategies for business leaders in the GCC, emphasizing supply chain resilience and expansion into high-growth markets like India and China.

It also encourages investment in nearshoring strategies to leverage the region’s strategic position.

“Success will depend on cultivating deep market intelligence, robust scenario planning, and strategic partnerships,” Cristian Rodriguez-Chiffelle, partner and director for trade and investment at BCG, said.

With global trade undergoing rapid transformation, the GCC’s ability to position itself as a key player in emerging trade corridors will determine its long-term economic resilience and influence in the global marketplace.